Saifullah Dzhabrailov vs Steve Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-3-0Record19-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'0"
-Reach75"
147 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight Club Berkut· 1663 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-12→ 1712
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Saifullah DzhabrailovSteve Garcia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steve Garcia60%
Saifullah Dzhabrailov 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Steve Garcia a 60% favorite over Saifullah Dzhabrailov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Saifullah Dzhabrailov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1726 vs 1724), separated by just 2 points.
Saifullah Dzhabrailov finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Steve Garcia 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.