Saimon Oliveira vs Tariq Ismail
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
72"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1581 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamBazooka Kickboxing & MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Saimon OliveiraTariq Ismail
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Saimon Oliveira73%
Tariq Ismail 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Saimon Oliveira a 73% favorite over Tariq Ismail in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tariq Ismail's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1595), separated by just 1 points.
Saimon Oliveira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Saimon Oliveira finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Tariq Ismail 13%.
Saimon Oliveira carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.