Combat Edge Intelligence

Salamu Abdurakhmanov vs Serghei Spivac

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-3-0Record18-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
-Reach 78"
207 lbsWeight256 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamPolar Bear Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Salamu AbdurakhmanovNow 1736
If they win+15→ 1751
If they lose-17→ 1719
Serghei SpivacNow 1724
If they win+17→ 1741
If they lose-15→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.23
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.82
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
64%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Salamu AbdurakhmanovSerghei Spivac
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (21%)
KO/TKO
7 (39%)
7 (37%)
Submission
8 (44%)
8 (42%)
Decision
3 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Salamu Abdurakhmanov61%
Serghei Spivac 39%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Salamu Abdurakhmanov a 61% favorite over Serghei Spivac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1736 vs 1724), separated by just 12 points.

Salamu Abdurakhmanov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Salamu Abdurakhmanov finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Serghei Spivac 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.