Sam Alvey vs Vlasto Čepo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-18-1Record14-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Team QuestTeamAmerican Top Team Zagreb
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1627
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1664 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sam AlveyVlasto Čepo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vlasto Čepo66%
Sam Alvey 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Vlasto Čepo a 66% favorite over Sam Alvey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sam Alvey's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1636), separated by just 3 points.
Sam Alvey finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Vlasto Čepo 100%.
Sam Alvey carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.