Sam Fournier vs Sean Salmon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record18-21-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1484
If they lose-24→ 1436
If they win+12→ 1470
If they lose-12→ 1446
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Sam FournierSean Salmon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Fournier53%
Sean Salmon 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Fournier a 53% favorite over Sean Salmon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1460 vs 1458), separated by just 2 points.
Sam Fournier enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sean Salmon enters on a 10-fight loss streak.
Sean Salmon 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.