Combat Edge Intelligence

Sam Fulton vs Sascha Weinpolter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-2-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
250 lbsWeight240 lbs
TeamIron Fist Gym

What's at stake

Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Sam Fulton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Sam FultonNow 1446
If they win+28→ 1474
If they lose-20→ 1426
Sascha WeinpolterNow 1509
If they win+20→ 1529
If they lose-28→ 1481

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Sam FultonSascha Weinpolter
14501500199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Sascha Weinpolter73%
Sam Fulton 27%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 73% favorite over Sam Fulton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1446, a 63-point edge.

Sam Fulton enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sascha Weinpolter 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.