Sam Hoger vs Stephan Bonnar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record15-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Miletich Martial ArtsTeamOne Kick's Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1642
If they lose-17→ 1610
If they win+17→ 1630
If they lose-15→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sam HogerStephan Bonnar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Hoger60%
Stephan Bonnar 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Hoger a 60% favorite over Stephan Bonnar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1613), separated by just 14 points.
Sam Hoger enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Stephan Bonnar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sam Hoger finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Stephan Bonnar 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.