Sam Hughes vs Tecia Pennington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record15-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'1"
64"Reach60″
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fortis MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Tecia Pennington is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Sam Hughes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1623
If they lose-14→ 1591
If they win+14→ 1672
If they lose-18→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sam HughesTecia Pennington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tecia Pennington52%
Sam Hughes 48%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Tecia Pennington a 52% favorite over Sam Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Tecia Pennington holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1605, a 53-point edge.
Sam Hughes finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Tecia Pennington 13%.
Sam Hughes and Tecia Pennington share 1 common opponent: Luana Pinheiro.
Sam Hughes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.