Sam Stout vs Takuya Shibamura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-12-1Record6-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Team TompkinsTeamReversal Gym Shinjuku Me, We· 1636 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1606
If they lose-12→ 1582
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sam StoutTakuya Shibamura
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Takuya Shibamura72%
Sam Stout 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Takuya Shibamura a 72% favorite over Sam Stout in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sam Stout's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1594), separated by just 0 points.
Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sam Stout finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Takuya Shibamura 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.