Combat Edge Intelligence

Sam Stout vs Terry Etim

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sam Stout
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Sam Stout

“Hands of Stone”

20-12-1LightweightUFC

1594Solid

Tale of the tape

20-12-1Record16-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team TompkinsTeamTeam Kaobon

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Sam StoutNow 1594
If they win+12→ 1606
If they lose-12→ 1582
Terry EtimNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.17
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
29%
Strike accuracy
36%
4.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.53
57%
Strike defense
67%
0.63
Takedown avg.
0.43
38%
Takedown accuracy
30%
78%
Takedown defense
39%
0.13
Submission avg.
1.42

Trajectory

Sam StoutTerry Etim
160016502012201320142015

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
1 (5%)
Submission
12 (75%)
10 (50%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Terry Etim56%
Sam Stout 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Terry Etim a 56% favorite over Sam Stout in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1597), separated by just 3 points.

Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Sam Stout finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Terry Etim 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.