Sam Stout vs Yves Edwards
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-12-1Record42-22-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team TompkinsTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Yves Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Sam Stout carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1609
If they lose-9→ 1585
If they win+9→ 1695
If they lose-15→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sam StoutYves Edwards
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yves Edwards57%
Sam Stout 43%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Yves Edwards a 57% favorite over Sam Stout in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Yves Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1594, a 92-point edge.
Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Yves Edwards enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Sam Stout finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Yves Edwards 79%.
Sam Stout and Yves Edwards share 1 common opponent: Cody McKenzie.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.