Sammy Morgan vs Tremaine Jackson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record0-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
165 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team BisonTeam
What's at stake
Sammy Morgan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Tremaine Jackson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1494
If they lose-26→ 1446
If they win+26→ 1476
If they lose-22→ 1428
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sammy MorganTremaine Jackson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tremaine Jackson59%
Sammy Morgan 41%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Tremaine Jackson a 59% favorite over Sammy Morgan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sammy Morgan's way (47%).
Sammy Morgan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1472 to 1450, a 22-point edge.
Sammy Morgan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tremaine Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sammy Morgan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.