Samuel Bily vs Wendell Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-2-0Record31-16-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
174 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamWar Machine
What's at stake
Samuel Bily is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Wendell Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1470
If they lose-25→ 1422
If they win+17→ 1449
If they lose-15→ 1417
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1486 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Samuel BilyWendell Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Samuel Bily58%
Wendell Oliveira 42%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Samuel Bily a 58% favorite over Wendell Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Samuel Bily holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1447 to 1432, a 15-point edge.
Samuel Bily enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Wendell Oliveira enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Wendell Oliveira 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.