Combat Edge Intelligence

Sanae Kikuta vs Uran Satybaldiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

31-9-3Record9-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'9"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
200 lbsWeight205 lbs
GrabakaTeamUluu Kyrgyz Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Sanae KikutaNow 1687
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675
Uran SatybaldievNow 1686
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
TBD
Strike accuracy
25%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.66
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Sanae KikutaUran Satybaldiev
165017002013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (16%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
16 (52%)
Submission
2 (22%)
10 (32%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Uran Satybaldiev72%
Sanae Kikuta 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Uran Satybaldiev a 72% favorite over Sanae Kikuta in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sanae Kikuta's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1686), separated by just 1 points.

Sanae Kikuta finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Uran Satybaldiev 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.