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Combat Edge Intelligence

Santiago Luna vs Shirzad Qadrian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record8-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
74"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight136 lbs
Entram Gym· 1672 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamDiesel Gym London

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Santiago LunaNow 1661
If they win+24→ 1685
If they lose-24→ 1637
Shirzad QadrianNow 1662
If they win+24→ 1686
If they lose-24→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

8.20
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
55%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
72%
Strike defense
Not available
4.21
Takedown avg.
Not available
83%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.84
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Santiago LunaShirzad Qadrian
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
4 (50%)
Submission
2 (25%)
1 (13%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Santiago Luna63%
Shirzad Qadrian 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Luna a 63% favorite over Shirzad Qadrian in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shirzad Qadrian's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1662), separated by just 1 points.

Shirzad Qadrian enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Santiago Luna finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Shirzad Qadrian 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.