Combat Edge Intelligence

Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sergey Khandozhko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-10-0Record27-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
73″Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamIndustrials

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Santiago PonzinibbioNow 1698
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
Sergey KhandozhkoNow 1694
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1719 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
42%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.37
62%
Strike defense
61%
0.60
Takedown avg.
0.76
12%
Takedown accuracy
29%
71%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Santiago PonzinibbioSergey Khandozhko
17002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (57%)
KO/TKO
11 (42%)
6 (20%)
Submission
7 (27%)
7 (23%)
Decision
8 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Santiago Ponzinibbio52%
Sergey Khandozhko 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Ponzinibbio a 52% favorite over Sergey Khandozhko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1694), separated by just 4 points.

Santiago Ponzinibbio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Santiago Ponzinibbio finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Khandozhko 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.