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Combat Edge Intelligence

Santos Verdinez vs Tom Picciano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record9-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
146 lbsWeight170 lbs
Warrior's CoveTeamLong Island MMA

What's at stake

Santos Verdinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Tom Picciano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Santos VerdinezNow 1634
If they win+14→ 1648
If they lose-18→ 1616
Tom PiccianoNow 1601
If they win+18→ 1619
If they lose-14→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1481 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Santos VerdinezTom Picciano
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
2 (25%)
Submission
3 (33%)
3 (38%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Santos Verdinez and Tom Picciano within a point of even.

Santos Verdinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1601, a 33-point edge.

Santos Verdinez enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Tom Picciano enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Santos Verdinez finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tom Picciano 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.