Combat Edge Intelligence

Saparbeg Safarov vs Tyson Pedro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record10-6-0
TBDDivisionLight Heavyweight
TBDHeight6'3"
41.50Reach79"
TBDWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamLions High Performance Centre

What's at stake

Tyson Pedro is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Saparbeg Safarov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Saparbeg SafarovNow 1519
If they win+30→ 1549
If they lose-18→ 1501
Tyson PedroNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-20→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.03
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
48%
Strike accuracy
59%
2.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
48%
Strike defense
56%
2.52
Takedown avg.
0.76
42%
Takedown accuracy
15%
33%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Saparbeg SafarovTyson Pedro
150015501600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tyson Pedro65%
Saparbeg Safarov 35%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Tyson Pedro a 65% favorite over Saparbeg Safarov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Tyson Pedro holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1519, a 95-point edge.

Tyson Pedro enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tyson Pedro 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.