Combat Edge Intelligence

Sara McMann vs Sheila Gaff

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sheila Gaff
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Sheila Gaff

“The German Tank”

10-7-0FlyweightDFC

1523Average

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record10-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
66"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamPyranha MMA Offenbach

What's at stake

Sara McMann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Sheila Gaff carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Sara McMannNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-20→ 1594
Sheila GaffNow 1523
If they win+20→ 1543
If they lose-12→ 1511

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.26
Sig. strikes / min
1.60
46%
Strike accuracy
50%
1.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
48%
Strike defense
28%
4.38
Takedown avg.
0
65%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
20%
0.50
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Sara McMannSheila Gaff
15001550160016502017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
5 (36%)
Submission
5 (50%)
8 (57%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sara McMann61%
Sheila Gaff 39%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Sara McMann a 61% favorite over Sheila Gaff in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Sara McMann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1523, a 91-point edge.

Sara McMann finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Sheila Gaff 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.