Combat Edge Intelligence

Sascha Weinpolter vs Sean O'Haire

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-6-1Record4-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'6"
-ReachTBD
240 lbsWeight265 lbs
Iron Fist GymTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Sascha WeinpolterNow 1509
If they win+25→ 1534
If they lose-23→ 1486
Sean O'HaireNow 1517
If they win+23→ 1540
If they lose-25→ 1492

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Sascha WeinpolterSean O'Haire
14501500200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (93%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (25%)
1 (7%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sascha Weinpolter70%
Sean O'Haire 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 70% favorite over Sean O'Haire in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sean O'Haire's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1517), separated by just 8 points.

Sean O'Haire enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Sascha Weinpolter finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Haire 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.