Combat Edge Intelligence

Sascha Weinpolter vs Sean Rose

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-1Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
-ReachN/A
240 lbsWeight264 lbs

What's at stake

Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Sean Rose carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Sascha WeinpolterNow 1509
If they win+21→ 1530
If they lose-27→ 1482
Sean RoseNow 1472
If they win+27→ 1499
If they lose-21→ 1451

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Sascha WeinpolterSean Rose
145015002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (93%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (7%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sascha Weinpolter70%
Sean Rose 30%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 70% favorite over Sean Rose in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1472, a 37-point edge.

Sascha Weinpolter finishes 93% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.