Sascha Weinpolter vs Stefan Leko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-1Record0-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
240 lbsWeight218 lbs
Iron Fist GymTeamGolden Glory
What's at stake
Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Stefan Leko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1528
If they lose-29→ 1480
If they win+29→ 1471
If they lose-19→ 1423
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sascha WeinpolterStefan Leko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sascha Weinpolter83%
Stefan Leko 17%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 83% favorite over Stefan Leko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1442, a 67-point edge.
Stefan Leko enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sascha Weinpolter finishes 93% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.