Sascha Weinpolter vs Valentijn Overeem
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-1Record30-32-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
240 lbsWeight234 lbs
Iron Fist GymTeamGolden Glory
What's at stake
Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Valentijn Overeem carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1530
If they lose-27→ 1482
If they win+14→ 1475
If they lose-10→ 1451
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sascha WeinpolterValentijn Overeem
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sascha Weinpolter78%
Valentijn Overeem 22%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 78% favorite over Valentijn Overeem in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1461, a 48-point edge.
Valentijn Overeem enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Sascha Weinpolter finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Valentijn Overeem 97%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.