Combat Edge Intelligence

Sascha Weinpolter vs Willie Peeters

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-1Record9-10-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
240 lbsWeight218 lbs
Iron Fist GymTeamDolman Gym

What's at stake

Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Willie Peeters carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Sascha WeinpolterNow 1509
If they win+21→ 1530
If they lose-27→ 1482
Willie PeetersNow 1471
If they win+13→ 1484
If they lose-11→ 1460

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1475 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Sascha WeinpolterWillie Peeters
14501500155019981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (93%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (11%)
1 (7%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Sascha Weinpolter70%
Willie Peeters 30%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 70% favorite over Willie Peeters in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1471, a 38-point edge.

Sascha Weinpolter finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Willie Peeters 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.