Scott Carson vs Łukasz Brzeski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record9-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach78"
214 lbsWeight236 lbs
Reign MMATeamNKSW Holy Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1557
If they lose-24→ 1509
If they win+16→ 1551
If they lose-16→ 1519
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Scott CarsonŁukasz Brzeski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Scott Carson55%
Łukasz Brzeski 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Scott Carson a 55% favorite over Łukasz Brzeski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Łukasz Brzeski's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1535), separated by just 2 points.
Scott Carson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Łukasz Brzeski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Scott Carson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Łukasz Brzeski 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.