Scott Holtzman vs Zafar Mohsen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-0Record15-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
69"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight150 lbs
Shield SystemsTeamKiboju Fight Fabrik Mannheim
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Scott HoltzmanZafar Mohsen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zafar Mohsen70%
Scott Holtzman 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zafar Mohsen a 70% favorite over Scott Holtzman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Scott Holtzman's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1663), separated by just 1 points.
Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Zafar Mohsen enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Scott Holtzman finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Zafar Mohsen 80%.
Zafar Mohsen carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.