Combat Edge Intelligence

Scott Jorgensen vs Wilson Reis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-12-0Record28-14-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'4"
37.00Reach65,0"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Twisted GenetiksTeamBrazilian Jiu-Jitsu United

What's at stake

Wilson Reis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Scott Jorgensen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Scott JorgensenNow 1628
If they win+17→ 1645
If they lose-15→ 1613
Wilson ReisNow 1652
If they win+11→ 1663
If they lose-13→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.37
Sig. strikes / min
1.83
40%
Strike accuracy
30%
3.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
65%
Strike defense
56%
2.61
Takedown avg.
5.15
46%
Takedown accuracy
43%
60%
Takedown defense
47%
0.73
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Scott JorgensenWilson Reis
1600165017002013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (33%)
Submission
13 (46%)
8 (53%)
Decision
15 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Scott Jorgensen and Wilson Reis within a point of even.

Wilson Reis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1628, a 24-point edge.

Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Scott Jorgensen finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.