Combat Edge Intelligence

Scott Jorgensen vs Zach Makovsky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-12-0Record21-12-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
37.00Reach64,0"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Twisted GenetiksTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Scott Jorgensen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Zach Makovsky carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Scott JorgensenNow 1628
If they win+14→ 1642
If they lose-18→ 1610
Zach MakovskyNow 1585
If they win+13→ 1598
If they lose-11→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.37
Sig. strikes / min
1.94
40%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.24
65%
Strike defense
62%
2.61
Takedown avg.
3.71
46%
Takedown accuracy
31%
60%
Takedown defense
57%
0.73
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Scott JorgensenZach Makovsky
1600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
5 (33%)
Submission
7 (33%)
8 (53%)
Decision
13 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Scott Jorgensen67%
Zach Makovsky 33%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Scott Jorgensen a 67% favorite over Zach Makovsky in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Scott Jorgensen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1585, a 43-point edge.

Zach Makovsky enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Scott Jorgensen finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Zach Makovsky 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.