Sean Alvarez vs Wesley Correira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Sean Alvarez
Elo1528Average
Tale of the tape
4-3-0Record21-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
235 lbsWeight253 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamCabbage MMA
What's at stake
Wesley Correira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Sean Alvarez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1555
If they lose-21→ 1507
If they win+10→ 1584
If they lose-14→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Sean AlvarezWesley Correira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wesley Correira68%
Sean Alvarez 32%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Wesley Correira a 68% favorite over Sean Alvarez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Wesley Correira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1574 to 1528, a 46-point edge.
Sean Alvarez finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Wesley Correira 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.