Sean O'Malley vs Thomas Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-3-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'7"
72″ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Sean O'Malley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Thomas Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1826
If they lose-21→ 1794
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-8→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1750 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sean O'MalleyThomas Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean O'Malley84%
Thomas Almeida 16%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean O'Malley a 84% favorite over Thomas Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Sean O'Malley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1815 to 1701, a 114-point edge.
Sean O'Malley enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Sean O'Malley finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Almeida 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.