Sean O'Malley vs Umar Nurmagomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-3-0Record20-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'8"
72″Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamEagles MMA· 1817 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1831
If they lose-16→ 1799
If they win+16→ 1838
If they lose-16→ 1806
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1750 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sean O'MalleyUmar Nurmagomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Sean O'Malley and Umar Nurmagomedov within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1815 vs 1822), separated by just 7 points.
Sean O'Malley enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Umar Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Sean O'Malley finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Umar Nurmagomedov 45%.
Sean O'Malley and Umar Nurmagomedov share 1 common opponent: Merab Dvalishvili.
Sean O'Malley carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
LossSubmission · 2025
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025