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Combat Edge Intelligence

Sean O'Malley vs Umar Nurmagomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-3-0Record20-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'8"
72″Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamEagles MMA· 1815 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Sean O'MalleyNow 1815
If they win+15→ 1830
If they lose-17→ 1798
Umar NurmagomedovNow 1802
If they win+17→ 1819
If they lose-15→ 1787

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1750 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.05
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
61%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.86
60%
Strike defense
61%
0.24
Takedown avg.
4.03
43%
Takedown accuracy
8%
61%
Takedown defense
79%
0.24
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Sean O'MalleyUmar Nurmagomedov
1800202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (65%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
1 (5%)
Submission
7 (35%)
6 (30%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean O'Malley57%
Umar Nurmagomedov 43%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean O'Malley a 57% favorite over Umar Nurmagomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1815 vs 1802), separated by just 13 points.

Sean O'Malley enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Sean O'Malley finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Umar Nurmagomedov 45%.

Sean O'Malley and Umar Nurmagomedov share 2 common opponents: Yadong Song and Merab Dvalishvili.

Sean O'Malley carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026
Yadong Song
LossKO · 2026
LossSubmission · 2025
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Merab Dvalishvili
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025