Combat Edge Intelligence

Sean Rose vs Tom Tuggle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record0-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
N/AReachTBD
264 lbsWeight250 lbs
TBDTeamAmerican Mayhem Gym

What's at stake

Sean Rose is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Tom Tuggle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Sean RoseNow 1472
If they win+21→ 1493
If they lose-27→ 1445
Tom TuggleNow 1427
If they win+27→ 1454
If they lose-21→ 1406

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Sean RoseTom Tuggle
14501500200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Rose66%
Tom Tuggle 34%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Rose a 66% favorite over Tom Tuggle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Sean Rose holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1472 to 1427, a 45-point edge.

Tom Tuggle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.