Combat Edge Intelligence

Sean Rose vs Valentijn Overeem

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record30-32-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
N/AReachTBD
264 lbsWeight234 lbs
TBDTeamGolden Glory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Sean RoseNow 1472
If they win+23→ 1495
If they lose-25→ 1447
Valentijn OvereemNow 1461
If they win+12→ 1473
If they lose-12→ 1449

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Sean RoseValentijn Overeem
145015001550201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
12 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
17 (57%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (3%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Rose61%
Valentijn Overeem 39%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Rose a 61% favorite over Valentijn Overeem in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1472 vs 1461), separated by just 11 points.

Valentijn Overeem enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Valentijn Overeem 97%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.