Combat Edge Intelligence

Sean Sharaf vs Steven Asplund

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sean Sharaf
us

Sean Sharaf

“The Smoke”

4-2-0HeavyweightUFC

1543Average

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record7-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
77"Reach78"
252 lbsWeight261 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMcCune's Martial Arts

What's at stake

Steven Asplund is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Sean Sharaf carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Sean SharafNow 1543
If they win+29→ 1572
If they lose-19→ 1524
Steven AsplundNow 1620
If they win+19→ 1639
If they lose-29→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.41
Sig. strikes / min
19.93
44%
Strike accuracy
59%
15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.49
43%
Strike defense
58%
0.93
Takedown avg.
0
11%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Sean SharafSteven Asplund
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (100%)
KO/TKO
6 (86%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Steven Asplund74%
Sean Sharaf 26%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Steven Asplund a 74% favorite over Sean Sharaf in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Steven Asplund holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1620 to 1543, a 77-point edge.

Sean Sharaf enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sean Sharaf finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Steven Asplund 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.