Combat Edge Intelligence

Sean Soriano vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record39-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamChina Top Team

What's at stake

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Sean Soriano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Sean SorianoNow 1569
If they win+21→ 1590
If they lose-11→ 1558
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeNow 1679
If they win+8→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.18
Sig. strikes / min
1.95
62%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
56%
Strike defense
50%
1.33
Takedown avg.
3.30
56%
Takedown accuracy
35%
53%
Takedown defense
29%
0
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Sean SorianoShayilan Nuerdanbieke
155016001650170020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
19 (49%)
4 (27%)
Submission
10 (26%)
3 (20%)
Decision
10 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke70%
Sean Soriano 30%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Shayilan Nuerdanbieke a 70% favorite over Sean Soriano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1679 to 1569, a 110-point edge.

Sean Soriano enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sean Soriano finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.