Sean Spencer vs Yancy Medeiros
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record16-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
75,0"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight165 lbs
Fortis MMATeamTeam Hakuilua
What's at stake
Yancy Medeiros is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Sean Spencer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1598
If they lose-15→ 1566
If they win+15→ 1624
If they lose-17→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sean SpencerYancy Medeiros
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yancy Medeiros59%
Sean Spencer 41%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Yancy Medeiros a 59% favorite over Sean Spencer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Yancy Medeiros holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1581, a 28-point edge.
Sean Spencer enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Sean Spencer finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Yancy Medeiros 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.