Combat Edge Intelligence

Sean Spencer vs Yuri Villefort

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sean Spencer
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Sean Spencer

“Black Magic”

12-7-0WelterweightLFA

1581Solid

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record12-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
75,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamBlackzilians

What's at stake

Sean Spencer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Yuri Villefort carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Sean SpencerNow 1581
If they win+15→ 1596
If they lose-17→ 1564
Yuri VillefortNow 1553
If they win+17→ 1570
If they lose-15→ 1538

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.24
Sig. strikes / min
3.18
32%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.42
61%
Strike defense
56%
0.14
Takedown avg.
2
33%
Takedown accuracy
35%
69%
Takedown defense
40%
0
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Sean SpencerYuri Villefort
155016002017201820192020

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
2 (17%)
Submission
4 (33%)
8 (67%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Yuri Villefort60%
Sean Spencer 40%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Yuri Villefort a 60% favorite over Sean Spencer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sean Spencer's way (46%).

Sean Spencer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1581 to 1553, a 28-point edge.

Sean Spencer enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Sean Spencer finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Yuri Villefort 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.