Sebastian Wies vs Zarrukh Adashev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record4-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Sebastian WiesZarrukh Adashev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sebastian Wies54%
Zarrukh Adashev 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sebastian Wies a 54% favorite over Zarrukh Adashev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1549), separated by just 2 points.
Sebastian Wies enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Zarrukh Adashev 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.