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Combat Edge Intelligence

Sedriques Dumas vs Wagner Prado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Wagner Prado
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Wagner Prado

“Caldeirao”

18-8-1Light HeavyweightACA

1601Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record18-8-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
79"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team Remedy BJJ & MMATeamBrazilian TKO· 1639 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Sedriques DumasNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
Wagner PradoNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.97
Sig. strikes / min
1.72
44%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
53%
Strike defense
51%
1.30
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
33%
Takedown defense
22%
0.22
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Sedriques DumasWagner Prado
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
16 (89%)
2 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (40%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Sedriques Dumas68%
Wagner Prado 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sedriques Dumas a 68% favorite over Wagner Prado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.

Sedriques Dumas enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Sedriques Dumas finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Wagner Prado 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.