Senan Coakley vs Thiago Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record23-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-Reach70,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dublin Combat AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1598
If they lose-24→ 1550
If they win+12→ 1585
If they lose-12→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Senan CoakleyThiago Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Senan Coakley59%
Thiago Alves 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Senan Coakley a 59% favorite over Thiago Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1573), separated by just 1 points.
Senan Coakley enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Thiago Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Senan Coakley finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Alves 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.