Sergei Pavlovich vs Shamil Abdurakhimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-3-0Record20-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
84"Reach76"
260 lbsWeight263 lbs
Eagles MMATeamPeresvet FT
What's at stake
Sergei Pavlovich is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Shamil Abdurakhimov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1818
If they lose-23→ 1786
If they win+17→ 1667
If they lose-7→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1730 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sergei PavlovichShamil Abdurakhimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergei Pavlovich92%
Shamil Abdurakhimov 8%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergei Pavlovich a 92% favorite over Shamil Abdurakhimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Sergei Pavlovich holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1809 to 1650, a 159-point edge.
Sergei Pavlovich enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Sergei Pavlovich finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Abdurakhimov 65%.
Sergei Pavlovich and Shamil Abdurakhimov share 2 common opponents: Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis.
Sergei Pavlovich carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.