Sergei Pavlovich vs Tallison Teixeira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-3-0Record9-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'7"
84"Reach83"
260 lbsWeight258 lbs
Eagles MMATeamMaquininha do Futuro
What's at stake
Sergei Pavlovich is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tallison Teixeira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1819
If they lose-22→ 1787
If they win+22→ 1694
If they lose-10→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1730 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sergei PavlovichTallison Teixeira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergei Pavlovich72%
Tallison Teixeira 28%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergei Pavlovich a 72% favorite over Tallison Teixeira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Sergei Pavlovich holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1809 to 1672, a 137-point edge.
Sergei Pavlovich enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Sergei Pavlovich finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Tallison Teixeira 89%.
Sergei Pavlovich and Tallison Teixeira share 2 common opponents: Tai Tuivasa and Derrick Lewis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.