Sergei Pavlovich vs Vadim Nemkov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-3-0Record19-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
84"Reach76"
260 lbsWeight242 lbs
Eagles MMA· 1817 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFedorTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1826
If they lose-15→ 1794
If they win+15→ 1835
If they lose-17→ 1803
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1730 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sergei PavlovichVadim Nemkov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergei Pavlovich51%
Vadim Nemkov 49%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergei Pavlovich a 51% favorite over Vadim Nemkov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vadim Nemkov's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1809 vs 1820), separated by just 11 points.
Sergei Pavlovich enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Vadim Nemkov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Sergei Pavlovich finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Vadim Nemkov 79%.
Sergei Pavlovich carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.