Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-3-0Record17-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
84"Reach78"
260 lbsWeight262 lbs
Eagles MMATeamUltimate Kombat Fitness
What's at stake
Sergei Pavlovich is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Waldo Cortes-Acosta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1824
If they lose-17→ 1792
If they win+17→ 1796
If they lose-15→ 1764
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1730 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sergei PavlovichWaldo Cortes-Acosta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergei Pavlovich60%
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 40%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergei Pavlovich a 60% favorite over Waldo Cortes-Acosta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Sergei Pavlovich holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1809 to 1779, a 30-point edge.
Sergei Pavlovich enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Sergei Pavlovich finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.
Sergei Pavlovich and Waldo Cortes-Acosta share 2 common opponents: Alexander Volkov and Derrick Lewis.
Sergei Pavlovich carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.