Sergey Romanov vs Shamil Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-6-0Record14-0-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight186 lbs
What's at stake
Sergey Romanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Shamil Magomedov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1715
If they lose-13→ 1691
If they win+17→ 1689
If they lose-15→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Sergey RomanovShamil Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergey Romanov56%
Shamil Magomedov 44%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergey Romanov a 56% favorite over Shamil Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Sergey Romanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1672, a 32-point edge.
Sergey Romanov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Shamil Magomedov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Sergey Romanov finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Magomedov 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.