Combat Edge Intelligence

Serghei Spivac vs Tyrell Fortune

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record18-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
78"Reach77"
256 lbsWeight256 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Serghei SpivacNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
Tyrell FortuneNow 1708
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.57
Sig. strikes / min
2
48%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.13
52%
Strike defense
57%
3.82
Takedown avg.
3
0%
Takedown accuracy
60%
64%
Takedown defense
100%
0.48
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Serghei SpivacTyrell Fortune
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
8 (44%)
Submission
1 (6%)
3 (17%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Serghei Spivac73%
Tyrell Fortune 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Serghei Spivac a 73% favorite over Tyrell Fortune in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1708), separated by just 1 points.

Serghei Spivac finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Tyrell Fortune 71%.

Serghei Spivac and Tyrell Fortune share 1 common opponent: Marcin Tybura.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2024
Marcin Tybura
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026