Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record15-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"Reach77"
256 lbsWeight205 lbs
Polar Bear TeamTeamCM System· 1632 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Vitor Petrino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Serghei Spivac carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1728
If they lose-13→ 1696
If they win+13→ 1780
If they lose-19→ 1748
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Serghei SpivacVitor Petrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vitor Petrino87%
Serghei Spivac 13%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Vitor Petrino a 87% favorite over Serghei Spivac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Vitor Petrino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1709, a 58-point edge.
Vitor Petrino enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Serghei Spivac finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Petrino 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.