Serghei Spivac vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record17-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
78"Reach78"
256 lbsWeight262 lbs
What's at stake
Waldo Cortes-Acosta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Serghei Spivac carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1727
If they lose-14→ 1695
If they win+14→ 1776
If they lose-18→ 1744
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Serghei SpivacWaldo Cortes-Acosta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Waldo Cortes-Acosta53%
Serghei Spivac 47%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Waldo Cortes-Acosta a 53% favorite over Serghei Spivac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Waldo Cortes-Acosta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1762 to 1709, a 53-point edge.
Waldo Cortes-Acosta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Serghei Spivac finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.
Serghei Spivac and Waldo Cortes-Acosta share 2 common opponents: Ante Delija and Derrick Lewis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.