Serghei Spivac vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record17-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
78"Reach78"
256 lbsWeight262 lbs
Polar Bear TeamTeamUltimate Kombat Fitness
What's at stake
Waldo Cortes-Acosta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Serghei Spivac carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1742
If they lose-13→ 1710
If they win+13→ 1792
If they lose-19→ 1760
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1724 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Serghei SpivacWaldo Cortes-Acosta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Waldo Cortes-Acosta64%
Serghei Spivac 36%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Waldo Cortes-Acosta a 64% favorite over Serghei Spivac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Waldo Cortes-Acosta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1779 to 1723, a 56-point edge.
Serghei Spivac finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.
Serghei Spivac and Waldo Cortes-Acosta share 2 common opponents: Ante Delija and Derrick Lewis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.