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Combat Edge Intelligence

Sergio Martinez vs Tom Tuggle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record0-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight250 lbs
The Royal Society Striking AcademyTeamAmerican Mayhem Gym

What's at stake

Sergio Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Tom Tuggle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Sergio MartinezNow 1471
If they win+21→ 1492
If they lose-27→ 1444
Tom TuggleNow 1427
If they win+27→ 1454
If they lose-21→ 1406

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Sergio MartinezTom Tuggle
145020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Combat Edge model read

Sergio Martinez67%
Tom Tuggle 33%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Martinez a 67% favorite over Tom Tuggle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Sergio Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1427, a 44-point edge.

Tom Tuggle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.