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Combat Edge Intelligence

Sergio Martinez vs Yoshiaki Yatsu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record0-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight264 lbs

What's at stake

Sergio Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Yoshiaki Yatsu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Sergio MartinezNow 1471
If they win+23→ 1494
If they lose-25→ 1446
Yoshiaki YatsuNow 1454
If they win+25→ 1479
If they lose-23→ 1431

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Sergio MartinezYoshiaki Yatsu
145020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Combat Edge model read

Sergio Martinez60%
Yoshiaki Yatsu 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Martinez a 60% favorite over Yoshiaki Yatsu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Sergio Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1454, a 17-point edge.

Yoshiaki Yatsu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.